Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.424333 0.547941 0.682040 0.836387 1.007377 1.189466 1.396575
2025-05-11 0.268617 0.436120 0.636938 0.885901 1.178353 1.504521 1.889936
2025-05-18 0.177462 0.356098 0.589032 0.893917 1.266182 1.693258 2.209109
2025-05-25 0.095680 0.262176 0.504672 0.842432 1.271914 1.778564 2.403346
2025-06-01 0.043039 0.186957 0.427889 0.786416 1.260584 1.834360 2.554881
2025-06-08 0.017308 0.141098 0.382292 0.763361 1.284032 1.926813 2.745186
2025-06-15 0.006894 0.118734 0.368143 0.780268 1.356311 2.077044 3.002965
2025-06-22 0.000762 0.091632 0.339208 0.771517 1.391781 2.179497 3.201439
2025-06-29 NaN 0.066047 0.305420 0.750881 1.408119 2.255686 3.366171
2025-07-06 NaN 0.060328 0.310762 0.790422 1.506597 2.436060 3.658759
2025-07-13 NaN 0.057338 0.321342 0.838035 1.616213 2.630759 3.969208
2025-07-20 NaN 0.054393 0.331190 0.884143 1.723625 2.822668 4.276367
2025-07-27 NaN 0.056984 0.357073 0.960729 1.879632 3.084307 4.679088
2025-08-03 NaN 0.052644 0.364710 1.007451 1.994590 3.294639 5.020542
2025-08-10 NaN 0.041894 0.351788 1.017764 2.056456 3.435060 5.273985
2025-08-17 NaN 0.022795 0.303341 0.962139 2.020634 3.446111 5.364329
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009308 0.256106 0.902116 1.974362 3.440578 5.431501
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003610 0.229878 0.877291 1.977858 3.499177 5.577927
2025-09-07 NaN 0.002005 0.225933 0.895484 2.046282 3.644805 5.835161
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000335 0.209270 0.886071 2.071405 3.731400 6.016568
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.187807 0.863866 2.075270 3.788253 6.159194
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.196017 0.906397 2.181117 3.984706 6.481880
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.208040 0.957518 2.300699 4.200154 6.829291